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Draw Challenges
2023 Australian Open Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (1190 participants)
Champion
N Djokovic [4] 916 77.4%
D Medvedev [7] 99 8.4%
R Nadal [1] 34 2.9%
S Tsitsipas [3] 19 1.6%
C Ruud [2] 16 1.4%
H Rune [9] 16 1.4%
T Fritz [8] 13 1.1%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] 11 0.9%
Wu YB [W] 9 0.8%
J Sinner [15] 9 0.8%
D Kudla [L] 9 0.8%
B Coric [21] 7 0.6%
D Thiem [W] 5 0.4%
4:
A Zverev [12]
2:
A Rublev [5]
Shang JC [Q]
M Berrettini [13]
1:
S Wawrinka
P Carreno Busta [14]
A Murray
D Lajovic
T Kokkinakis
D Shapovalov [20]
H Hurkacz [10]
Y Watanuki [Q]
Zhang ZZ
Hsu YH [Q]
Winner of Top Half
D Medvedev [7] 521 44.0%
S Tsitsipas [3] 261 22.0%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] 109 9.2%
R Nadal [1] 104 8.8%
J Sinner [15] 62 5.2%
B Coric [21] 30 2.5%
F Tiafoe [16] 22 1.9%
Wu YB [W] 18 1.5%
C Norrie [11] 18 1.5%
S Korda [29] 12 1.0%
D Shapovalov [20] 8 0.7%
H Hurkacz [10] 6 0.5%
Shang JC [Q] 6 0.5%
3:
L Musetti [17]
1:
S Wawrinka
D Lajovic
Y Watanuki [Q]
T Daniel
Winner of Bottom Half
N Djokovic [4] 1011 85.5%
C Ruud [2] 38 3.2%
T Fritz [8] 37 3.1%
H Rune [9] 31 2.6%
A Zverev [12] 18 1.5%
D Kudla [L] 16 1.4%
M Berrettini [13] 13 1.1%
D Thiem [W] 6 0.5%
A Rublev [5] 5 0.4%
1:
Zhang ZZ
Hsu YH [Q]
A Popyrin [W]
A Murray
A de Minaur [22]
T Kokkinakis
P Carreno Busta [14]
A Davidovich Fokina [30]
Finalists
D Medvedev [7] VS     N Djokovic [4] 459 38.8%
S Tsitsipas [3] VS     N Djokovic [4] 234 19.8%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS     N Djokovic [4] 92 7.8%
R Nadal [1] VS     N Djokovic [4] 79 6.7%
J Sinner [15] VS     N Djokovic [4] 52 4.4%
B Coric [21] VS     N Djokovic [4] 22 1.9%
D Medvedev [7] VS     T Fritz [8] 17 1.4%
C Norrie [11] VS     N Djokovic [4] 16 1.4%
F Tiafoe [16] VS     N Djokovic [4] 15 1.3%
Wu YB [W] VS     N Djokovic [4] 14 1.2%
D Medvedev [7] VS     C Ruud [2] 12 1.0%
S Korda [29] VS     N Djokovic [4] 11 0.9%
D Medvedev [7] VS     H Rune [9] 10 0.8%
R Nadal [1] VS     C Ruud [2] 9 0.8%
S Tsitsipas [3] VS     C Ruud [2] 8 0.7%
D Medvedev [7] VS     A Zverev [12] 8 0.7%
D Shapovalov [20] VS     N Djokovic [4] 7 0.6%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS     T Fritz [8] 6 0.5%
D Medvedev [7] VS     D Kudla [L] 5 0.4%
S Tsitsipas [3] VS     T Fritz [8] 5 0.4%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS     H Rune [9] 5 0.4%
R Nadal [1] VS     H Rune [9] 5 0.4%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
Shang JC [Q] VS N Djokovic [4]
S Tsitsipas [3] VS M Berrettini [13]
D Medvedev [7] VS A Rublev [5]
D Medvedev [7] VS M Berrettini [13]
3:
R Nadal [1] VS T Fritz [8]
S Tsitsipas [3] VS A Zverev [12]
B Coric [21] VS A Zverev [12]
H Hurkacz [10] VS N Djokovic [4]
S Tsitsipas [3] VS H Rune [9]
S Tsitsipas [3] VS D Kudla [L]
2:
J Sinner [15] VS T Fritz [8]
B Coric [21] VS C Ruud [2]
L Musetti [17] VS N Djokovic [4]
J Sinner [15] VS D Kudla [L]
J Sinner [15] VS H Rune [9]
R Nadal [1] VS A Zverev [12]
H Hurkacz [10] VS C Ruud [2]
F Tiafoe [16] VS C Ruud [2]
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS D Kudla [L]
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS C Ruud [2]
Shang JC [Q] VS M Berrettini [13]
F Tiafoe [16] VS T Fritz [8]
C Norrie [11] VS H Rune [9]
D Medvedev [7] VS D Thiem [W]
R Nadal [1] VS M Berrettini [13]
1:
Wu YB [W] VS Zhang ZZ
Y Watanuki [Q] VS A de Minaur [22]
D Shapovalov [20] VS T Fritz [8]
F Tiafoe [16] VS A Rublev [5]
T Daniel VS Hsu YH [Q]
R Nadal [1] VS D Thiem [W]
L Musetti [17] VS T Kokkinakis
S Korda [29] VS H Rune [9]
S Tsitsipas [3] VS D Thiem [W]
Wu YB [W] VS A Popyrin [W]
J Sinner [15] VS C Ruud [2]
B Coric [21] VS T Fritz [8]
S Wawrinka VS N Djokovic [4]
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS M Berrettini [13]
Wu YB [W] VS H Rune [9]
B Coric [21] VS H Rune [9]
J Sinner [15] VS P Carreno Busta [14]
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS A Zverev [12]
J Sinner [15] VS A Zverev [12]
F Tiafoe [16] VS D Kudla [L]
H Hurkacz [10] VS D Thiem [W]
R Nadal [1] VS A Murray
F Tiafoe [16] VS H Rune [9]
R Nadal [1] VS D Kudla [L]
B Coric [21] VS D Kudla [L]
Wu YB [W] VS D Kudla [L]
D Lajovic VS D Thiem [W]
J Sinner [15] VS A Davidovich Fokina [30]
Winner of 1st Quarter
D Medvedev [7] 799 67.5%
R Nadal [1] 160 13.5%
F Tiafoe [16] 73 6.2%
S Korda [29] 54 4.6%
H Hurkacz [10] 47 4.0%
D Shapovalov [20] 21 1.8%
Shang JC [Q] 10 0.8%
K Khachanov [18] 7 0.6%
J Draper 5 0.4%
3:
B Nakashima
1:
Y Nishioka [31]
D Lajovic
MA Huesler
Y Watanuki [Q]
T Daniel
Winner of 2nd Quarter
S Tsitsipas [3] 568 48.0%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] 235 19.9%
J Sinner [15] 188 15.9%
B Coric [21] 75 6.3%
C Norrie [11] 59 5.0%
Wu YB [W] 38 3.2%
L Musetti [17] 10 0.8%
3:
S Wawrinka
2:
Kwon S
B van de Zandschulp [32]
1:
I Ivashka
C Eubanks [W]
V Pospisil
Winner of 3rd Quarter
N Djokovic [4] 1062 89.8%
H Rune [9] 51 4.3%
D Kudla [L] 45 3.8%
A Rublev [5] 13 1.1%
D Thiem [W] 7 0.6%
2:
P Carreno Busta [14]
A de Minaur [22]
1:
Hsu YH [Q]
Winner of 4th Quarter
T Fritz [8] 486 41.1%
C Ruud [2] 437 37.0%
M Berrettini [13] 146 12.4%
A Zverev [12] 71 6.0%
A Murray 7 0.6%
R Bautista Agut [24] 7 0.6%
Zhang ZZ 5 0.4%
4:
T Paul
M Kecmanovic [26]
3:
D Schwartzman [23]
2:
T Kokkinakis
A Davidovich Fokina [30]
A Popyrin [W]
M Mmoh [L]
1:
JP Varillas [L]
JJ Wolf
A Bublik
B Shelton
Winner of Section 1
R Nadal [1] 518 43.6%
F Tiafoe [16] 481 40.5%
K Khachanov [18] 116 9.8%
Shang JC [Q] 21 1.8%
Y Nishioka [31] 19 1.6%
J Draper 19 1.6%
B Nakashima 11 0.9%
1:
M McDonald
J Munar
Winner of Section 2
D Medvedev [7] 980 82.8%
S Korda [29] 86 7.3%
H Hurkacz [10] 74 6.3%
D Shapovalov [20] 36 3.0%
2:
D Lajovic
1:
L Sonego
C Garin
MA Huesler
Y Watanuki [Q]
T Daniel
Winner of Section 3
S Tsitsipas [3] 800 67.6%
J Sinner [15] 331 28.0%
L Musetti [17] 41 3.5%
B van de Zandschulp [32] 5 0.4%
3:
R Hijikata [W]
2:
M Fucsovics
1:
I Ivashka
F Coria
Winner of Section 4
F Auger-Aliassime [6] 637 53.8%
C Norrie [11] 225 19.0%
B Coric [21] 198 16.7%
Wu YB [W] 104 8.8%
S Wawrinka 8 0.7%
Kwon S 5 0.4%
2:
T Monteiro
C Moutet
1:
C Eubanks [W]
F Cerundolo [28]
V Pospisil
0:
J Lehecka
Winner of Section 5
D Kudla [L] 495 41.8%
H Rune [9] 377 31.8%
A Rublev [5] 285 24.1%
D Thiem [W] 12 1.0%
D Evans [25] 5 0.4%
4:
M Cressy
2:
R Gasquet
1:
E Ruusuvuori
F Krajinovic
U Humbert
M Purcell [Q]
Winner of Section 6
N Djokovic [4] 1162 98.1%
P Carreno Busta [14] 11 0.9%
A de Minaur [22] 6 0.5%
3:
G Dimitrov [27]
1:
Z Bergs [Q]
Hsu YH [Q]
Winner of Section 7
T Fritz [8] 919 77.6%
A Zverev [12] 172 14.5%
D Schwartzman [23] 31 2.6%
M Mmoh [L] 21 1.8%
M Kecmanovic [26] 18 1.5%
Zhang ZZ 10 0.8%
A Popyrin [W] 6 0.5%
JJ Wolf 5 0.4%
1:
B Shelton
JP Varillas [L]
Winner of Section 8
C Ruud [2] 690 58.3%
M Berrettini [13] 404 34.2%
R Bautista Agut [24] 23 1.9%
T Paul 18 1.5%
A Murray 17 1.4%
T Kokkinakis 13 1.1%
J Brooksby 6 0.5%
A Davidovich Fokina [30] 6 0.5%
3:
A Bublik
1:
JL Struff [Q]
J Sousa
F Fognini